Bitcoin price steadies near $64K as traders watch ETF outflows and Hormuz risk

Bitcoin traded near $64,000 on Sunday after recovering part of Friday’s sell-off, but the rebound has not yet changed the wider range. 

According to crypto.news market data, Bitcoin traded around $64,008, up 0.87% over 24 hours.

The page showed a 24-hour range between $63,188 and $64,462, with daily volume above $16.6 billion. Bitcoin’s seven-day move stayed slightly negative, showing that the weekend bounce only repaired part of the damage.

The move kept traders focused on the $62,000 support area. A clear break below that zone could weaken short-term sentiment, while a move above $67,000 would give bulls a stronger relief setup.

Bitcoin holds range after Friday’s drop

Bitcoin fell below $63,000 on Friday as risk appetite weakened across crypto markets. It later bounced from the weekly 200-period moving average area and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, according to crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades.

Daan said the $62,000 area remains the level bulls “must hold” into the weekly close. In his view, a move below that level would look bearish in the short term, while a break above the local high near $67,000 could open a move toward $73,000.

Ether, Solana and Tron also firmed over the weekend, while HYPE remained one of the stronger weekly performers despite a daily pullback. Dogecoin stayed weaker than most large tokens on a seven-day basis.

The broader market move looked more like stabilization than a strong trend change. Bitcoin still needs a higher close above nearby resistance to show that buyers control the next leg.

Hormuz threat keeps macro risk alive

Bitcoin’s weekend move came as traders watched planned U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks in Switzerland. The talks follow last week’s memorandum of understanding, which gave both sides a 60-day window to work toward a longer deal.

The market backdrop remains unsettled because Iran again ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The waterway is one of the world’s key oil routes. A real closure could lift oil prices and pressure risk assets, including Bitcoin.

crypto.news previously reported that lower oil from a reopened Hormuz can ease inflation pressure and help liquidity expectations. The reverse also matters. Higher oil could revive inflation worries and keep the Federal Reserve cautious, which would limit support for crypto.

That keeps Bitcoin tied to events outside crypto markets. A durable ceasefire would reduce one source of risk, while a renewed oil shock could bring back defensive trading across digital assets.

Bitcoin ETF outflows weigh on demand

ETF flows remain another key issue for Bitcoin price analysis. Galaxy Research said U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $6.35 billion in net outflows over the latest 30-day window, the largest such outflow in its tracked data.

The same data showed six straight weeks of outflows. Cumulative net flows reportedly fell to $53.4 billion from a $63 billion peak in October 2025. That suggests institutional demand has cooled while price tries to hold support.

ETF outflows do not always force an immediate price break. Still, they remove a source of steady demand that helped Bitcoin during earlier parts of the cycle. When fund flows weaken at the same time as macro risk rises, buyers often wait for clearer levels before adding exposure.

The pressure also matters because Bitcoin has traded below several earlier cycle reference levels. If funds keep losing capital, spot buyers may need to absorb more supply before price can reclaim the $67,000 area.

Analysts split on momentum signals

Some technical traders see early signs of relief. Crypto analyst BATMAN said Bitcoin printed a daily MACD momentum flip from deeply negative territory. He argued that similar signals in this cycle appeared near local bottoms before relief rallies.

Rekt Capital gave a more cautious historical view. He said that if June ends red, July has often moved in the opposite direction. He also noted that a weak June close could confirm a loss of the 50-month EMA as support, turning any July bounce into a retest rather than a confirmed recovery.

For now, Bitcoin remains caught between support near $62,000 and resistance near $67,000. A close below $62,000 would put the $60,000 to $59,000 zone back in focus. A move above $67,000 could shift attention toward $73,000, especially if oil risk eases and ETF outflows slow.

The near-term setup therefore stays balanced. Bitcoin has stabilized, but traders still need stronger volume, better fund flows and calmer geopolitical news before calling the rebound durable over the near term.